Giants vs Chargers odds, analysis & prediction for all NFL Week 14 games
Last week, that space suffered an injury that suggested Daniel Jones could be back for the Giants game in Miami. That obviously didn’t happen and our choice fell into the hands of Mike Glennon, who was competent for a while but most of all helpless in a 20-9 no-touchdown loss to the Dolphins. At least now we know that Sunday against the Chargers at SoFi Stadium the Giants are expected to start Glennon, after concussion, with Jake Fromm as backup.
The plot is on the other side. Top chargers WR Keenan Allen (COVID protocol) have been ruled out while close contacts WR Mike Williams and CB Chris Harris are expected to play. The pick here is the Chargers although a few stats give me pause.
The Chargers have only had two double-digit wins this season.
They rank 31st in rushing yards allowed, which could give the Giants a chance to run and shorten the game. And the Giants are 4-1 ATS this season in games after losing to ATS.
But the four wins were all with Jones, and he got injured early in the loss to a spread to Dallas.
It just feels like there’s a limit to how many points the Giants can score here, and in the words of Bruce Springsteen, it’s “not a lot … not a lot”.
The choice : Chargers, -10.
New Orleans Saints (-5.5) vs. NEW YORK JETS
Isn’t it the Jets’ luck that Alvin Kamara and left tackle Terron Armstrong can come back, and that Taysom Hill’s “mallet finger” is no longer a problem? The Saints also arrive at MetLife with some extra rest after playing last Thursday. Meanwhile, the Jets injury report is intimidating as dynamic Elijah Moore is in the injured reserve and CJ Mosley missed a midweek practice with a back injury. The Jets have allowed an average of 33.7 points per game in their last seven games, but the worst part was the 54 points they gave to the Patriots when Mosley was out.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-9.5) vs. Las Vegas Raiders
The Chiefs have gone from a team that hardly ever covered the spread to one with three straight ATS wins in a five-game winning streak. The last two games, they won by 10 against Dallas at -2.5 and by 13 against Denver at -8.5. But the week before, they had beaten the Raiders in Las Vegas 41-14 at -3. Something in the Silver & Black made the vintage Patrick Mahomes stand out. Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo also has KC’s defense on fire.
TENNESSEE TITANS (-9) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Possessing a ton of points so far, somewhat supported by the fact that the five biggest favorites covered the gap last week. Here’s another one in which the “dog is just too ugly, with Trevor Lawrence’s criticism of Urban Meyer for throwing James Robinson out into the open.” The Titans’ farewell came at a good time after the loss to the Texans and the breakup of the Patriots.
Baltimore Ravens (+2.5) vs. CLEVELAND BROWNS
The Browns are goodbye while the Ravens are exhausted in many areas after a brutal physical loss to the Steelers. Still, just two weeks ago, Lamar Jackson threw four interceptions and the Ravens have always beaten the Browns, so it could be about taking the best team with points.
CAROLINA PANTHERS (-2.5) vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Panthers won 19-13 in Atlanta on Halloween as the defense intercepted Matt Ryan twice and sacked him three times. Carolina coach Matt Rhule obviously thinks his offense can do better with Cam Newton and OC Joe Brady gone.
Dallas Cowboys (-4) vs. WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM
The WFT have stacked four wins in a row, but the last two have been by the risky score of 17-15. The cowboys are as healthy as before and get some extra rest on Thursday evenings. Eliminate the 19-9 dud in Kansas City and the Cowboys are averaging 26.2 points per game in their other five road games.
Seattle Seahawks (-8) vs. HOUSTON TEXANS
After a season of wrestling, Russell Wilson and the Seahawks are suddenly so good you want to land more than a touchdown with them? No, but the opposition is so bad it’s almost unbeatable. The Texans have losses of 40-0, 31-0, 31-3, and 31-5 on their dance card this season.
Detroit Lions (+10) vs. DENVER BRONCOS
The only other time the Broncos have been favored by at least that much, they beat the Jets 26-0 to -10. But in general, it’s not Teddy Bridgewater’s favorite role, which has been a much better bet as an underdog. The Lions covered eight of 12 despite the 1-10-1 SU record.
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-3) vs. Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is on a short week after an inclement loss to the Patriots. At 7-5, it comes across as a game of desperation for a good team that needs a signing win to get back on the Super Bowl track. The problem for the Bills is that Tom Brady is in the other group – the same Tom Brady who is 32-3 all-time against them with 70 touchdowns.
San Francisco 49ers (-1) v CINCINNATI BENGALS
The line changed in this game, with the 49ers becoming the light favorites. The cool conditions in the early evening favor the 49ers’ strong running game. The Bengals rely more on the pass and Joe Burrow suffers from a finger injury.
GREEN BAY PACKERS (-12.5) vs. Chicago Bears
In the first 11 weeks, the Packers hit 31 points just once. Then, in their last two games, they scored 31 points in a loss to the Vikings and 36 in a win over the Rams. Justin Fields returns for the Bears but could have issues with his ribs, rust and Lambeau winds.
ARIZONA CARDINALS (-2.5) vs. Los Angeles Rams
I would have considered Rams +3 but at this price I will defer to the concern that Sean McVay did not figure out how to replace injured WR Robert Woods and that Sony Michel would not be a sufficient replacement if RB Darrell Henderson could ‘go on.
Best bets: Chiefs, Seahawks, Buccaneers
Lock of the week: Chefs (locks 7-5 in 2021)
Last week: 5-9 total, 1-2 best bets